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US GDP jumps 3.4% while inflation climbs to 3.6% before midterms

US Economy

Growth up, prices up

GDP grew 3.4% last quarter. Inflation hit 3.6% in September.

US Economy

Last snapshot before midterms

This is the final big economic report before voters go to the polls on November 3.

GDP

What 3.4% means

GDP measures everything the economy makes. It grew 3.4% on an annualized basis.

GDP

Beat the forecast

That topped the 3.1% forecast cited by CNBC. Q2 growth was just 2.2%.

Inflation

Prices rose faster

The PCE price index climbed 0.5% in September. Annual inflation reached 3.6%.

Inflation

Core inflation rose too

Core PCE, without food and energy, hit 3.1% a year. The Fed target is 2%.

Households

Wallets feel it

Spending rose 0.5% in dollars. But after prices, it was flat.

Households

Income barely grew

Personal income rose only 0.2% in September. Savings fell to 3.8%.

Fed

Rates on hold

The Fed held rates at 3.75% to 4% on October 28. The vote was 10 to 2.

Fed

December hike odds jump

Markets now see an 84.6% chance of a rate hike in December.

Jobs

Jobless claims low

New claims fell to 194,000. Layoffs remain rare.

Next

What comes next

Fresh GDP and income data arrive November 25. Then the Fed decides again.

Finance

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